Bluesmoke

… just a few ideas for you to think about

Archive for January, 2010

Google Trends

Saturday, January 23rd, 2010

Following on from a previous post about the way Google is responding to social networking, Google has included hot topics and hot searches as part of  its  trends service  at: http://google.co.uk/trends , although only hot topics is available at the moment in the UK.

Trends

If  you’re not familiar with Google trends, its a powerful tool that gives  a graphical rep of most popular search topics and terms over a 5 year period.  So if you wanted to compare market growth for example between companies, brands etc you can quickly generate a 5 year graph based on their related search terms.  OK,  as a data mining tool it could be argued that using Google’s search entries might return flakey results but it cannot be ignored mainly because of the sheer volume of the empirical data that has been indexed.  Add in the ability to quickly analyse by region, sector and be be able to include Boolean searches for up to 5 terms then this becomes very powerful  market research tool. (There is also Google Insights for more in-depth analysis.) If  its used in conjuction with Google’s keyword tool to identify exactlywhich terms are being typed in the most its not difficult to envisage the benefits for online businesses.  The issue is how this information will influence what we do and how quickly we can respond.

Now add into this mix Hot topics and Hot searches. The emphasis here is identifying the fastest growing trends (rather than the volume of searches overall) However the main difference is in the speed of search data being compiled- hot topics/hot searches  results are compiled daily and hourly respectively whereas  a standard Google search compiles results over a longer period. So essentially Google trends is showing what people are looking for now (i.e., sudden peaks in interest) . (The difference between hot topics and hot searches – the former focuses on the news orientated trends whilst the latter algorithm reflects actual searches)

Google’s  HOT  Topics and Hot Searches

As mentioned in a previous post this  is a response by Google  to the immediacy of social networking ,while keeping the distinction with overall longer term search trends.  Hot topics trawls the social networks etc looking for the ‘most buzz’ i.e. keywords and phrases that are on the ‘up’ in terms of popularity. Its probably best to think about these like the pop charts – for example no 1 in the top 10 Hot topics is ‘haiti telethon’ which reflects what is a happening now.  How does this work? very crudely the data is ‘normalised’ so that figures are not actual search numbers but compared against an average of current searches (a bit like stand dev).  So if there is a sudden peak in interest the height of the peak moves the topic  up the charts

Hot searches by contrast reference the number of Google searches for those topics.  Both of these indexing services operate over a very short time frame (hours rather rather than the ussual weeks or months) making them a very rich data mining resource for businesses. E.g.,  e-commerce sites could make use of the latest Hot topics and searches for latest fashion trends,  music music realtime (well, almost) .

If you try and keep ahead of the game its probably having a play with some of the advanced tools also. While they are kept as a  separate  service from Google’s main web searching  tools it will be interesting to see if they remain that way as other services have  now crept into the listings on to the main search page (shopping, news etc)

What are the opposition doing? Well Yahoo is calling it ‘Buzz’ and Bing has created what appears to be clone –  its actually a ‘mashup’ pulling its data from Google trends and spits out its top results using its own algorithm.  Inevitably results differ considerably as you would expect, although Google as the NO 1 search engine continues to be  the trail blazer.

Remember to log in to your  Google  account to get the most out of Google’s tools. Go have a look and play at:

Google trends

trendy!bing

Yahoo Buzz

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Govt Data Stats now available online

Thursday, January 21st, 2010

Excuse this hastily written post but this Govt website recently caught my eye.
The beta release of a Public data website  at : http://www.data.gov.uk looks to be a bit of a watershed in terms of accessing public data. Tim Berners Lee is heading up the project team in what could be a very powerful data source that can be tapped into using RDF . (Resources description framework)

The BBC’s article explains a bit more about the politics and the drive for transparency. It looks like its essentially aimed at those wishing to develop 3rd party apps that can process the data into a more readable and searchable format . I suspect there will be great interest by those wishing to develop applications to make sense of the enormous quantity of publicly held data (which is where RDF comes in).

Who will benefit? I’ve no doubt companies will want to develop offer quick access to relevant data (e.g. a way to easily search and access local govt planning applications).  The potential here is enormous but there are one or two concerns – I would hope that the service would come under some sort of license similar to GNU to stop profiteering.  Secondly, its one thing creating an online facility for churning out all this public info, but perhaps questions will be raised about the interpretation and privacy of data if it is so readily accessible.

It could also be argued its better for this data to be in the public domain especially with the mood for accountability in the public sector.  Anyway the site is definitely worth worth a look at, if only to see how  this data could impact on us  as individuals – or possibly as a resource for our businesses.

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Martin Luther King Day

Monday, January 18th, 2010

Martin Luther KingToday we celebrate both the birth of this great Human Rights activist and the impact his legacy has had, not just in the US but the world over. Yet it has has taken  over 40 years for this sea change in social and political attititudes to come about.

I came across  2 clips  that prompted me to rethink about the ‘mindset’ of that time.  As always the BBC played a pivotal role in broadcasting the events of a small town in Alabama to the the rest of the world at that time.  It is interesting to watch these two clips which  were first broadcast by Panorama on 13 May 1963.  The first is of Eugene (Bull) Connor, Police Safety Commisioner  in Birmingham, Alabama, and the second is the response by the Human Rights leader:

The political and social changes that have been wrought  by the civil rights movement have now come to fruition  - although I think the question remains whether the words of both still have resonance in many of todays social and global conflicts.

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